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ORIGINAL ARTICLE |
1 Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Division of Research, Perinatal Research Unit, Oakland, CA, USA
2 Kaiser Permanente Medical Center, Department of Pediatrics, Walnut Creek, CA, USA
3 Department of Society, Human Development and Health, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA
4 Department of Neonatology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston
5 Harvard Medical School, Department of Newborn Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital, Boston
Correspondence to:
Correspondence to:
Dr Escobar
Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Division of Research, Perinatal Research Unit, 2000 Broadway, 2nd floor, Oakland, CA 94612, USA; gabriel.escobar{at}kp.org
Accepted 28 February 2006
| ABSTRACT |
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Objective: To measure in-hospital outcomes and readmission within three months of discharge of moderately premature infants.
Design: Prospective cohort study including retrospective chart review and telephone interviews after discharge.
Setting: Ten birth hospitals in California and Massachusetts.
Patients: Surviving moderately premature infants born between October 2001 and February 2003.
Main outcome measures: (a) Occurrence of assisted ventilation during the hospital stay after birth; (b) adverse in-hospital outcomesfor example, necrotising enterocolitis; (c) readmission within three months of discharge.
Results: With the use of prospective cluster sampling, 850 eligible infants and their families were identified, randomly selected, and enrolled. A total of 677 families completed a telephone interview three months after hospital discharge. During the birth stay, these babies experienced substantial morbidity: 45.7% experienced assisted ventilation, and 3.2% still required supplemental oxygen at 36 weeks. Readmission within three months occurred in 11.2% of the cohort and was higher among male infants and those with chronic lung disease.
Conclusions: Moderately premature infants experience significant morbidity, as evidenced by high rates of assisted ventilation, use of oxygen at 36 weeks, and readmission. Such morbidity deserves more research.
Abbreviations: NICU, neonatal intensive care unit; PMA, postmenstrual age
Keywords: assisted ventilation; outcomes; prematurity; morbidity; intensive care
Much of the recent neonatal outcomes literature focuses on babies weighing <1500 g at birth, who are usually <33 weeks gestation and who have very high mortality and morbidity.1 Less is known about premature infants at higher gestations. Rates of several outcomes (mortality,2 cerebral palsy,35 respiratory syncytial virus infection,6 short term hospital morbidity,7 and readmission8,9) in these infants are lower than in very premature infants but higher than in term infants.
Newborns born at 30346/7 weeks gestation constitute 3.9% of all infants and 32% of all premature infants in the United States.10 Neonatal mortality in 3034 week gestation infants in the United States is 18.5 per 1000 live births, substantially higher than the 6.9/1000 rate found in 3536 week gestation infants and the 2.5/1000 rate found in term infants, but considerably lower than the 285.3/1000 rate in babies <30 weeks gestation.10
Moreover, these infants make up a substantial proportion of admissions to neonatal intensive care units (NICUs). In an internal data review for the year 2003 in the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, 27% of all NICU admissions were 3034 week babies. Similarly, for the years 2002 through 2004, 38% of all NICU admissions at the Brigham and Womens Hospital in Boston were in this gestational age range and constituted 77% of all admissions <35 weeks.
To address this gap in the literature, we prospectively examined birth stay outcomes and three month follow up of a cohort of 3034 week infants who survived the birth stay in California and Massachusetts. This report will focus on overall in-hospital outcomes and readmission in the first three months after discharge from the NICU. Other findings are reported elsewhere.1116
| METHODS |
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At three sites where the volume of admissions was very high, sampling algorithms were developed to ensure that the final sample size of 100 was evenly distributed over the enrolment period. Despite the prior information, in four sites enrolment was slower than expected, and we reduced the target size to 6065 infants so that all sites were collecting data throughout the same period.
Study sample and enrolment procedures
Infants eligible for the study included those admitted to the study sites within the target gestational age range as determined by the best obstetrician defined estimate. Infants with major malformations or chromosomal disorders were excluded. Where potential ambiguities existedfor example, with respect to anomaliesthe decision to exclude an infant was made by consensus among the investigators.
At least once a week during the enrolment period, trained research assistants visited each site or contacted designated hospital staff to ascertain admission of potentially eligible infants. Using the admission log at each site and computerised tracking files, research assistants identified potentially eligible infants and followed their hospital course until 34 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA). At that point parents were given a study packet and asked to participate in the follow up interview.
Parents whom we were unable to contact before discharge or who failed to respond were contacted by mail nine weeks after discharge (a time frame mandated by institutional review boards) and invited to participate in the telephone survey.
Data collection
Data for this report were obtained from the NICU admission logs at each site, maternal and infant medical records, and a telephone survey of parents three months after hospital discharge. The basic data collection protocol was based on the Kaiser Permanente neonatal minimum data set,18 the score for neonatal acute physiology, version II,19 and previous studies.2024 Trained research assistants entered data directly into laptop computers, and encrypted data were sent to the Boston data coordinating centre.
The telephone interview at three months after discharge captured information on resource use after discharge, readmission, parent perception of infant health, satisfaction with NICU care, and breast feeding. Trained interviewers using computer assisted telephone interviewing software administered the survey. Questions on illness, readmission, planned and unplanned medical visits, and early intervention were adapted from the one year survey used in the evaluation of the Robert Wood Johnson national perinatal regionalization demonstration program.25
Statistical analysis
Because sampling fractions were not equal across study sites, all statistical analyses involving the entire cohort (as opposed to site specific calculations) used analytical methods in which the data for each site were weighted by the sites sampling fraction. For analyses involving outcomes after discharge, which were based on interview data, each sites data were weighted by the proportion of infants actually followed up at that centre. Not all study hospitals routinely collected data on maternal and infant race, but this information was obtained consistently from all interviews. As race was not available in the chart review dataset but was available in the interview dataset, we compared the results of tables and multivariate models with and without race. There were no major differences in the results, so all of the tables in this report include race.
Initial selection of variables for multivariate models was based on the results of bivariate comparisons, biological plausibility, and results of previous studies.8,9,26,27 Variables were retained in the final multivariate models if they reached statistical significance in preliminary models or if they were clinically important.
All analyses were conducted using Stata statistical software, version 8 (Stata, College Station, Texas, USA) and controlled for clustering due to multiple births.
Human subjects
The eight institutional review boards with jurisdiction over the 10 sites approved this study. Except for one site, which required written consent for all parts of the study, collection of medical record data was approved for all eligible infants, and parental permission for the interview was required.
| RESULTS |
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Table 1
summarises cohort characteristics. The number of enrolled births listed is 1250 (not 850) because of weighting given different sampling fractions in the medical centres. Almost two thirds of the babies were 3334 weeks gestation, and almost half experienced some form of assisted ventilation. The proportion of infants who received antenatal steroids was 66%, with considerable variation by gestational age, ranging from 45% among 34 week infants to 88% among 30 week infants. Mean PMA at discharge was 36.2 weeks. Most mothers had completed high school, and their mean age was 31 years. Annual income was at least $50 000 in 60% of the families.
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36 weeks. Results obtained using stratification by birth weight were similar to those obtained using gestational age. Mean PMA at discharge was slightly lower in babies
2000 g birth weight (36.0 weeks) than in those <2000 g (36.3 weeks, p = 0.019). None of the 24.5% of infants screened by an ophthalmologist developed retinopathy of prematurity.
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2000 g was not protective. Incorporating maternal education and/or family income did not result in any substantial change in the odds ratios.
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| DISCUSSION |
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Resource limitations precluded us from incorporating a term comparison group, but a limited number of denominator based studies for
37 week babies suggest that the morbidity experienced by infants in our cohort is substantially higher. In our cohort, 45.7/1000 experienced assisted ventilation, which is more than 4 times higher than the 10.4/1000 rate found in term infants by Wilson et al.28 With respect to pneumothorax, three studies2931 have reported rates ranging from 0.17 to 0.70/1000 live births; in contrast, the rate in our cohort was 16/1000. Chen et al32 reported a sepsis/meningitis rate of 1.6/1000 in term infants, also substantially lower than the 24.0/1000 rate in our cohort. If one only considers grade 3 or 4 intraventricular haemorrhages, the rate in our cohort (4.0/1000) is much higher than that reported by Jocelyn et al33 in term infants (0.49/1000). The difference may not be as great with respect to having any intraventricular haemorrhage, as some studies, which did not report haemorrhage grades, have documented such events in as many as 5% of all term infants.34,35 A recent article by Wang et al,7 which compared outcomes in near term (35366/7 weeks) and term infants, also supports the notion that moderate degrees of prematurity are also associated with substantial morbidity.
Recent reports of readmission among term infants3638 use a four to six week window rather than our three month interval. In these studies, readmission rates range from 19.0 to 39.5/1000. In addition, we were able to make comparisons with the readmission rate at three months in the
37 week gestational age cohort of the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program in 2002, where this rate was 43.0/1000. Thus it seems reasonable to infer that 3034 week gestation infants, whose readmission rate in the three months after hospital discharge was 113.0/1000, are at much higher risk than term infants.
Our analyses show that characteristics such as an infants sex and clinical variablesfor example, chronic lung diseasehave strong associations with in-hospital outcomes. We also found that male sex was a predictor for readmission in the three months after discharge, a finding that we cannot explain. In previous studies,39,40 we have reported an increased risk of severe (
25 mg/dl) jaundice in male infants
36 weeks gestation. However, in another study involving readmission within two weeks of discharge in infants of all gestations, the increased risk in male infants was not limited to jaundice.9
Of importance is the fact that a birth weight of
2000 g is not protective against assisted ventilation or readmission. Although a large body of evidence clearly shows that the key determinant for neonatal mortality and morbidity is gestational age, and although ultrasound gestational age assignment is becoming more widespreadfor example, in the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program all pregnant women have at least one ultrasounduse of birth weight as a predictor remains quite common, in both the literature and clinical practice. Our study shows that babies whose weights might lead many clinicians to consider them to be "big premies" nonetheless experience considerable morbidity.
Our study does have important limitations. The first is that our sample of hospitals may not be representative. For example, at our study sites, admission to a special care setting is mandatory for babies <35 weeks gestation, a policy that may not be universal. It is conceivable that moderately premature infants in other locations could have better or worse outcomes than the ones we describe in this report. It is also possible that, as we excluded infants who were transferred (who, at these medical centres, are most likely to be babies who could safely be sent for convalescence at smaller hospitals), our sample may be relatively enriched with sicker moderately premature infants. Given the relatively low frequency of certain eventsfor example, only 3.2% of the cohort had chronic lung diseaseour study may not have the power to detect associations between events occurring during the birth stay and subsequent outcome. Because this study was planned as an exploration of the factors affecting outcomes of moderately premature infants, we did not collect detailed utilisation datafor example, actual follow up services provided to families and infantsand we also have limited data on the obstetric management experienced by these infants. Clearly, future studies should capture such data because of its established impact on readmission rates.9 Future collaborative studies could address these issues.
It is very clear that, for many important neonatal outcomes, two important gradients exist. The first is a quantitative gradient, with an exponential decrease in the numbers of babies as gestational age decreases. However, adverse outcomes follow a gradient in the opposite direction, with increasing rates as gestational age decreases. Thus, for certain outcomes, the absolute burden to society may be greater from infants who are not as premature because there are more such infants. Consideration of these gradients suggests that a broader conceptual shift needs to be made in perinatal medicine and epidemiology. Such a shift needs to consider issues involving the care of infants as well as the study of the care infants receive.
In the presence of widespread practice variation and absence of specific, evidence based guidelines, which should include rational discharge planning strategies, it is conceivable that both clinicians and insurers may use tacit or "de facto" guidelines that treat these infants on the basis of their birth weight as well as presumed asymptomatic status. This could lead some infants to be treatedinappropriatelyusing guidelines defined for term infants. Professional societies such as the Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health and the American Academy of Pediatrics should take an active role in defining gestational age specific guidelines for moderately premature infants. Such guidelines will probably need to go into greater detail with respect to gestational age rangesthat is, not simply group all babies <37 weeks into a single category.
The fact that so many moderately premature infants require some form of assisted ventilation suggests that assessment of the value of specific obstetric interventions aimed at prolonging pregnancy should take these infants outcomes into account. For example, not all obstetricians would attempt tocolysis at 3334 weeks gestation. Another important issue that needs to be re-examined is the risk-benefit ratio of elective caesarean delivery for moderately premature infants. A recent randomised trial to prevent respiratory distress in term infants born by elective caesarean section provides a good example of the sort of questions that need to be addressed in moderately premature infants.41
What is already known on this topic
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In developed nations, accurate gestational age measures have become more commonly available. Moreover, during analysis of any dataset, use of cut off points (particularly dichotomous ones) for continuous data entails information loss. Consequently, future studies on premature infants should: (a) base their cohorts on gestational age criteria, not birth weight; (b) report outcomes for specific weeks of gestation; (c) whenever possible, include gestational age as a continuous outcome in multivariate models.
In conclusion, given that previous studies may not have considered the contribution of moderate prematurity to overall outcomes rates, it may be necessary to re-examine certain existing assumptions about the costs and benefits of specific interventions. For example, if one bases certain obstetric interventions only on the outcomes experienced by very low birthweight infants, one may come to erroneous conclusions about the value or risk of such interventions among women presenting with preterm labour and moderate prematurity.
What this study adds
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| ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS |
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| FOOTNOTES |
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Competing interests: none declared
Presented at a platform session at the May 2004 meetings of the Society for Pediatric Research in San Francisco, California, and at Bethesda, MD at the NICHD Workshop on Optimizing Care and Long-term Outcome of Near-term Pregnancy and the Near-term Newborn Infant in July of 2005.
| REFERENCES |
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2000 grams at birth: a population-based study. Pediatrics 2000;106:25663.This article has been cited by other articles:
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M. C. McCormick, G. J. Escobar, Z. Zheng, and D. K. Richardson Factors Influencing Parental Satisfaction With Neonatal Intensive Care Among the Families of Moderately Premature Infants Pediatrics, June 1, 2008; 121(6): 1111 - 1118. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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C. K. Shapiro-Mendoza, K. M. Tomashek, M. Kotelchuck, W. Barfield, A. Nannini, J. Weiss, and E. Declercq Effect of Late-Preterm Birth and Maternal Medical Conditions on Newborn Morbidity Risk Pediatrics, February 1, 2008; 121(2): e223 - e232. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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K. Lindstrom, B. Winbladh, B. Haglund, and A. Hjern Preterm Infants as Young Adults: A Swedish National Cohort Study Pediatrics, July 1, 2007; 120(1): 70 - 77. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J. Profit, M. C. McCormick, G. J. Escobar, D. K. Richardson, Z. Zheng, K. Coleman-Phox, R. Roberts, and J. A.F. Zupancic Neonatal Intensive Care Unit Census Influences Discharge of Moderately Preterm Infants Pediatrics, February 1, 2007; 119(2): 314 - 319. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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